Elon Musk

Rank 46 of 47

Score -199

@MatthewBerman No, I never said that.

I told everyone who asked in the beginning that I thought the probability of OpenAI beating Google was ~1%. Infinitely different from 0%.

After the DotA win, I raised the win probability to ~10%.

9/24/2025, 7:02:02 AM

In reply to:

Matthew Berman

@MatthewBerman

96d

He said the same thing about OpenAI

Elon Musk

@elonmusk

96d

@yacineMTB Winning was never in the set of possible outcomes for Anthropic

The statement by the user is a clarification of their previous position regarding the probability of OpenAI's success compared to Google. It addresses a public issue related to the competition between major AI companies, which is a topic of public interest and debate. The tone is factual and corrective, aiming to clarify a misunderstanding or misrepresentation of the user's previous statements.

Principle 5:
I will acknowledge and correct my mistakes.
The statement acknowledges a potential misunderstanding and corrects it by providing specific probabilities that were previously communicated. This demonstrates a commitment to accuracy and transparency. [+2]