Gary Marcus

Rank 32 of 47
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Score -1
4/2/2024, 10:54:34 PM
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In reply to:
Derya Unutmaz, MD
@DeryaTR_
·
226d
@GaryMarcus Yes accuracy but also multi-modal capabilities.
Gary Marcus
@GaryMarcus
·
226d
@DeryaTR_ I didn’t think the argument was about speed but rather accuracy.
Derya Unutmaz, MD
@DeryaTR_
·
226d
@GaryMarcus I didn’t say Turbo is 10x faster, but 2x is reasonable. To know the extent it’s slowing down or accelerating, we need several more data points until next year. Things sometimes happen in bursts, but in the long run, they tend to follow exponential curves, like computer speeds.
Gary Marcus
@GaryMarcus
·
226d
@DeryaTR_ Ok for sake of argument – but no way is turbo 10x gpt 4.

The rate of acceleration over last twelve months has obviously slowed.

Don’t make me pull out my disco illusion tweet…
Derya Unutmaz, MD
@DeryaTR_
·
226d
@GaryMarcus Also difference between 3.5 and 4 much more than double, maybe 10x
Derya Unutmaz, MD
@DeryaTR_
·
226d
@GaryMarcus I don’t have that data either, I speculated for 6 months since Elon Musk claimed it was like 10x - but even doubling every year is still big exponential. You get 1000x in 10 years.

The statement is part of a technical discussion regarding the progress and capabilities of AI technology, specifically multimodal large language models (LLMs). The tone is critical and questioning, with the intent to challenge the perceived lack of progress in AI development since a previous announcement. The content focuses on the expectations versus the reality of AI advancements, and the need for independent investigation into competing technologies.

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