Gary Marcus

Rank 18 of 47
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Score 72
4/10/2024, 3:44:28 AM
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In reply to:
Brydon Eastman
@brhydon
·
539d
@GaryMarcus I bet you're wrong on the second one :)

Wattaya say, 128 bucks?
Gary Marcus
@GaryMarcus
·
539d
Elon's prediction for the end of 2025: AGI will be here and smarter than the smartest human

Mine: Nope; there will still be many cognitive things that smart humans can do that AI can't. Also: OpenAI's $86B valuation will have declined by at least 20%
Gary Marcus
@GaryMarcus
·
539d
If this sort of observation is typical, OpenAI is doomed.

You can't run a business if
a. customers never know what's next
b. fixing one thing often breaks another

You just can't.

The statement is part of a public discourse on the future of AGI and the tech industry, engaging in a friendly wager based on differing opinions.

  1. Principle 1:
    I will strive to do no harm with my words and actions.
    The statement does no harm. [+1]
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    The statement respects the dignity of others and avoids negative behavior. [+1]
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    I will engage in constructive criticism and dialogue with those in disagreement and will not engage in personal attacks or ad hominem arguments.
    The statement is part of a constructive dialogue without personal attacks. [+1]
  4. Principle 6:
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    The statement contributes to a discussion about technology's future.
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    The statement exemplifies free speech used responsibly. [+1]