Gary Marcus

Rank 13 of 47
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Score 84
4/11/2024, 5:10:44 PM
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In reply to:
Truth Seeker in Silicon Valley
@truth_in_sv
·
664d
@GaryMarcus @JoannaStern @miramurati I agree. Can I share assets in the $10 million bet, just in case there is a 0.0000000000000000000000001 chance that the other side -ie, pro AGI-ish- miraculously wins?
Gary Marcus
@GaryMarcus
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664d
@truth_in_sv @JoannaStern @miramurati my predictions are here and see also a few of my substack essays around the same time (eg Sora’s surreal physics)
Gary Marcus
@GaryMarcus
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706d
Tentative Prediction: Sora will see limited professional use.
👉 Majority of demo videos have problems, with physics, biology, etc.
👉 Most demos have same slow pan & zoom that will get tedious.
👉 Continuity will be hard across long videos
👉 Expensive at 30 fps
Truth Seeker in Silicon Valley
@truth_in_sv
·
664d
@JoannaStern @miramurati
CC: @GaryMarcus
I watched the first 5 minutes or so of https://www.wsj.com/video/series… . If Sora delivers on what Mira is promising it will indeed be an impressive feat. I fail to see its massive application though. And I can already foresee the copyright…

The statement is part of a conversation about predictions related to the application and success of a specific AI technology, which is a public issue. The tone is somewhat playful and challenging, with the intent to engage in a discussion about the likelihood of certain outcomes in the field of AI. The content involves a personal stance on the willingness of others to bet against the speaker's predictions, indicating a level of confidence in their own viewpoint.

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    The statement respects the privacy and dignity of others and does not engage in cyberbullying, harassment, or hate speech. [+1]
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    The statement invites engagement and seems open to constructive criticism and dialogue, although it does not directly engage in a dialogue with those in disagreement. [+1]