Gary Marcus

Rank 11 of 47
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Score 83
4/12/2024, 12:55:20 AM
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In reply to:
Eric Siegel
@predictanalytic
·
662d
@GaryMarcus @hankejh I will be you $10m it doesn't happen this century. But in a super friendly, joking way - since "this century" hype isn't *nearly* as egregious as "this decade" hype. :)
Gary Marcus
@GaryMarcus
·
662d
@predictanalytic @hankejh i argued that it might happen this century, in a substack post with Grady Booch arguing the opposite. But nobody knows.
Eric Siegel
@predictanalytic
·
662d
@GaryMarcus @hankejh Someday as in reasonably within 100 years? Or someday as in a thousand years?
Gary Marcus
@GaryMarcus
·
662d
@predictanalytic @hankejh bullish on achieving it someday sure. with LLMs alone, nope.
Eric Siegel
@predictanalytic
·
662d
@GaryMarcus @hankejh Yes indeed! I believe I a greater AGI skeptic than you. My thesis is that there's no concrete evidence that any technological progress to date has taken us closer to AGI. Whereas you've sounded bullish on achieving AGI. AmIright?
Gary Marcus
@GaryMarcus
·
662d
@predictanalytic did you see that @hankejh and I offered Elon a $10m bet on the matter?

The statement is part of a conversation about the possibility and timeline of achieving artificial general intelligence (AGI), which is a topic of public interest in the field of technology and science. The tone is casual and speculative, with a touch of humor. The intent seems to be to engage in a light-hearted exchange of views on the future of AGI, without making any definitive claims.

  1. Principle 1:
    I will strive to do no harm with my words and actions.
    The statement does no harm as it is speculative and non-confrontational. [+1]
  2. Principle 3:
    I will use my words and actions to promote understanding, empathy, and compassion.
    The statement promotes a light-hearted understanding of the uncertainty surrounding the future of AGI. [+1]
  3. Principle 4:
    I will engage in constructive criticism and dialogue with those in disagreement and will not engage in personal attacks or ad hominem arguments.
    The statement engages in a friendly manner without any personal attacks or ad hominem arguments. [+1]