Gary Marcus

Rank 14 of 47
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Score 83
4/18/2024, 6:00:28 PM
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In reply to:
Ori Nagel ⏸️
@ygrowthco
·
623d
@MelMitchell1 @GaryMarcus @gcolbourn @TEDTalks @ylecun @demishassabis Uh huh and here’s what the most prolific builder has to say

No goalpost moving, instead that it’s coming as initially projected, risks be damned
Melanie Mitchell
@MelMitchell1
·
623d
@GaryMarcus @gcolbourn @TEDTalks @ylecun @demishassabis Likely there will be more redefinition of "AGI" to make it more plausible. It's already been redefined from "machines attaining general human-level intelligence" to "machines performing most 'cognitive' tasks". Still not clear to me what "most" & "cognitive tasks" means.
Gary Marcus
@GaryMarcus
·
623d
@gcolbourn @TEDTalks @ylecun @demishassabis i think he did at one point. This recent interview seems more cautious, without any specific date: https://www.wired.com/story/deep…
Greg ⏹️ Colbourn
@gcolbourn
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623d
@GaryMarcus @TEDTalks @ylecun @demishassabis Didn't Hassabis say "this decade"?
Gary Marcus
@GaryMarcus
·
623d
Ray Kurzweil claimed today @TEDTalks “Two years.. three years .. four years. .. five years … everybody agrees now AGI is
very soon.”

I don’t agree. @ylecun doesn’t agree. I doubt @demishassabis agrees.

Here are seven reasons to doubt Kurzweil’s projection:
• Current systems…

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