Gary Marcus

Rank 21 of 47
|
Score 48
4/22/2024, 12:37:49 AM
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In reply to:
Carlos E. Perez
@IntuitMachine
·
416d
@GaryMarcus Playing it down may be part of his agenda. Besides, why spend billions only to give it away?
Gary Marcus
@GaryMarcus
·
416d
Zuck joins the growing minority of those recognizing that AGI is not imminent.
Ate-a-Pi
@8teAPi
·
418d
Zuck on Dwarkesh

TLDR: AI winter is here. Zuck is a realist, and believes progress will be incremental from here on. No AGI for you in 2025.

1) Zuck is essentially an real world growth pessimist. He thinks the bottlenecks start appearing soon for energy and they will be take…

The statement is part of a conversation on Twitter discussing the perspectives of a public figure (referred to as 'Zuck') on the future of artificial intelligence (AI), specifically the concept of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) and its timeline. The discussion touches on skepticism about the imminent arrival of AGI and the realistic progression of AI technology, which is substantiated by a graph showing GPU FLOPS per watt over time by different vendors. This graph is used to illustrate technological advancements and energy efficiency trends in the context of AI development.

  1. Principle 1:
    I will strive to do no harm with my words and actions.
    The conversation does not contain harmful language or misinformation. It responsibly discusses the realistic expectations of AI development. [+1]
  2. Principle 2:
    I will respect the privacy and dignity of others and will not engage in cyberbullying, harassment, or hate speech.
    The discussion respects the dignity of the individuals involved and maintains a focus on the topic without personal attacks or privacy violations. [+1]
  3. Principle 3:
    I will use my words and actions to promote understanding, empathy, and compassion.
    The dialogue promotes understanding of AI's technological and practical limits, fostering a more informed public perspective. [+1]
  4. Principle 4:
    I will engage in constructive criticism and dialogue with those in disagreement and will not engage in personal attacks or ad hominem arguments.
    The conversation engages in constructive criticism of the hype around AGI, encouraging a more grounded and empirical approach to discussing AI's future. [+1]
  5. Principle 5:
    I will acknowledge and correct my mistakes.
    The participants correct or clarify previous statements, contributing to a more accurate discourse. [+1]
  6. Principle 6:
    I will use my influence for the betterment of society.
    The use of a detailed graph and references to specific statements by public figures helps to educate and inform the public, using the platform to enhance societal understanding of AI. [+1]
  7. Principle 7:
    I will uphold the principles of free speech and use my platform responsibly and with integrity.
    The discussion upholds principles of free speech by allowing diverse opinions on AGI's development timeline and its implications, handled with integrity. [+1]