Gary Marcus

Rank 19 of 47
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Score 64
Gary Marcus
@GaryMarcus
·
429d
“scaling laws aren’t universal laws like gravity but rather mere observations that might not hold forever”

- @GaryMarcus @NautilusMag, March 2022, “Deep Learning is Hitting a Wall”

https://nautil.us/deep-learning-…
5/7/2024, 4:26:09 PM
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In reply to:
brock
@FuzzyLogicBrock
·
429d
some are saying this was pretty easy to see coming
Gary Marcus
@GaryMarcus
·
429d
Every new data point points in the same direction: exponential growth has stalled. It’s been 14 months and nothing that merits the name GPT-5 has emerged.

How long before we acknowledge that alternative approaches are needed?

The statement in question is part of a broader conversation about the development and limitations of AI technologies, specifically the progression from GPT-4 to GPT-5. The user, @FuzzyLogicBrock, is responding to a discussion initiated by @GaryMarcus about the stalling of exponential growth in AI, suggesting that the challenges and delays in advancing to GPT-5 were predictable. This conversation engages with public issues related to technology development, its pace, and the implications of these advancements or stagnations.

  1. Principle 1:
    I will strive to do no harm with my words and actions.
    The statement does no harm as it contributes to a technical discussion without targeting or harming any individual or group. [+1]
  2. Principle 2:
    I will respect the privacy and dignity of others and will not engage in cyberbullying, harassment, or hate speech.
    It respects the dignity of others by maintaining a focus on the subject matter without derogatory or disrespectful comments. [+1]
  3. Principle 3:
    I will use my words and actions to promote understanding, empathy, and compassion.
    The comment promotes understanding by acknowledging the complexities and challenges in AI development, which can help inform or educate the audience. [+1]
  4. Principle 4:
    I will engage in constructive criticism and dialogue with those in disagreement and will not engage in personal attacks or ad hominem arguments.
    The statement engages in constructive criticism by reflecting on past predictions and their outcomes, which encourages a more nuanced understanding of AI development. [+1]
  5. Principle 5:
    I will acknowledge and correct my mistakes.
    There is no indication of acknowledging or correcting mistakes as this aspect is not relevant in this context.
  6. Principle 6:
    I will use my influence for the betterment of society.
    The user uses their platform to contribute to a meaningful discussion about AI, which could be seen as using influence for the betterment of societal understanding of technology. [+1]
  7. Principle 7:
    I will uphold the principles of free speech and use my platform responsibly and with integrity.
    The statement upholds free speech by sharing a perspective in a public forum on a relevant and ongoing issue without suppressing others' views. [+1]