Gary Marcus

Rank 12 of 47
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Score 83
5/19/2024, 5:23:09 PM
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In reply to:
Ninja
@officiallyninja
·
616d
@GaryMarcus @ChrSzegedy @dwarkesh_sp Do you expect to see any of those things in 3 years?
Gary Marcus
@GaryMarcus
·
617d
Agree with @ChrSzegedy and am quite surprised that @dwarkesh_sp would think AGI next year is remotely plausible, especially given that the field has scarcely advanced beyond GPT-4 in raw capability since March 2023.
Christian Szegedy
@ChrSzegedy
·
618d
Relax people. We might see some AI generating full movies, being better at math than a Fields medalist, driving car safer than a professional driver, but I certainly don't expect an AI being able to do *everything* better than a human within four years.

The statement is part of a broader discussion on the timeline and capabilities of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI). The conversation involves multiple participants debating the feasibility and implications of AGI development within a few years. The specific reply in question expresses skepticism about the near-term development of AGI capable of generating full movies without human intervention.

  1. Principle 1:
    I will strive to do no harm with my words and actions.
    The statement does not cause harm and is a part of a constructive debate on AGI timelines. It maintains a neutral tone and does not engage in any harmful rhetoric. [+1]
  2. Principle 3:
    I will use my words and actions to promote understanding, empathy, and compassion.
    The statement contributes to understanding by providing a realistic perspective on AGI capabilities, promoting a more grounded discussion. [+1]
  3. Principle 4:
    I will engage in constructive criticism and dialogue with those in disagreement and will not engage in personal attacks or ad hominem arguments.
    The statement engages in constructive dialogue by responding directly to a question and providing a reasoned opinion without personal attacks. [+1]