Gary Marcus

Rank 33 of 47
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Score -20
6/25/2024, 2:07:36 AM
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In reply to:
Igor Kurganov
@IgorKurganov
·
133d
@GaryMarcus Coding has improved a lot over the last two years and that’s without incoming much larger training runs.

Happy to structure a bet if we can find specific LLM abilities we disagree on whether they exist in 2 or 4 years.

Which challenges humans do on a computer come to mind?
Gary Marcus
@GaryMarcus
·
133d
@IgorKurganov It might have one or two more, but even one more doubling is somewhat in doubt. What’s your measure? Seems like nothing is really noticeably better than GPT-4 in almost two years, despite huge investments, and costs (data, $, environmentally) themselves may be increasing…
Igor Kurganov
@IgorKurganov
·
133d
@GaryMarcus I claim this baby hasn’t doubled for the last time just yet.
Gary Marcus
@GaryMarcus
·
133d
@IgorKurganov Call me when your trillion pound baby arrives
Igor Kurganov
@IgorKurganov
·
133d
LLM skeptics be like

The statement engages in a public discourse about the quality and security of code, which is a relevant issue in the field of technology and artificial intelligence. The tone is analytical and somewhat skeptical, aiming to provide a counterpoint to the optimistic view expressed by Igor Kurganov.

  1. Principle 1:
    I will strive to do no harm with my words and actions.
    The statement does not cause harm and is focused on discussing the quality and security of code, which is a legitimate concern. [+1]
  2. Principle 3:
    I will use my words and actions to promote understanding, empathy, and compassion.
    The statement promotes understanding by bringing up studies that show a decrease in code quality and security, encouraging a more nuanced discussion. [+1]
  3. Principle 4:
    I will engage in constructive criticism and dialogue with those in disagreement and will not engage in personal attacks or ad hominem arguments.
    The statement engages in constructive criticism by questioning the optimistic view and asking for evidence, without resorting to personal attacks. [+1]