Gary Marcus

Rank 22 of 47
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Score 35
8/3/2024, 5:28:32 AM
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In reply to:
Isaac King 🔍
@IsaacKing314
·
408d
@GaryMarcus @tunguz Do you expect free chatbots like ChatGPT to be taken offline as the bubble bursts, since the cost to keep them running is not being recouped? That would be another nice objective metric.
Isaac King 🔍
@IsaacKing314
·
408d
@GaryMarcus @tunguz I'd want to clarify what counts as a "major media source" too. Several articles about an "AI bubble" have already been written by large outlets.
Isaac King 🔍
@IsaacKing314
·
408d
@GaryMarcus @tunguz These ones? I'm potentially open. Stock prices are nice and objective, I like that. VC investment seems quite subjective as to what counts, so I don't think that's a great metric without more clarification.
Gary Marcus
@GaryMarcus
·
409d
@xtbot @tunguz What odds will you give me @tunguz that 90 days from now VC will by most accounts be putting much less money in AI startups? That both MSFT and NVidia will be down from where there are today? That more than one major media source will have written pieces about the collapse of the…
Gary Marcus
@GaryMarcus
·
408d
@IsaacKing314 see criteria i suggested to @tunguz, who refused to bet. It wouldn’t be fair to do it at even odds, given how contrarian some see my view as.
Isaac King 🔍
@IsaacKing314
·
408d
@GaryMarcus Any interest in a wager on that?
Gary Marcus
@GaryMarcus
·
409d
I just wrote a great piece for WIRED predicting that the AI bubble will in collapse in 2025, and now I wish I hadn’t.

Clearly, I got the year wrong. It’s going to be days or weeks from now, not months.

The statement engages in a discussion about the sustainability and future of free chatbots like ChatGPT in the context of a potential AI bubble. It addresses the financial implications for large companies like Meta, suggesting that the costs of maintaining such services are negligible for them. This constitutes public discourse as it involves substantive engagement with public issues related to technology, economics, and corporate strategy.

  1. Principle 1:
    I will strive to do no harm with my words and actions.
    The statement does not cause harm and is a neutral observation about Meta's financial capacity. [+1]
  2. Principle 2:
    I will respect the privacy and dignity of others and will not engage in cyberbullying, harassment, or hate speech.
    The statement respects the privacy and dignity of others, focusing on corporate actions rather than individuals. [+1]
  3. Principle 3:
    I will use my words and actions to promote understanding, empathy, and compassion.
    The statement promotes understanding by providing a perspective on why Meta might continue to support free chatbots despite financial pressures. [+1]
  4. Principle 4:
    I will engage in constructive criticism and dialogue with those in disagreement and will not engage in personal attacks or ad hominem arguments.
    The statement engages in constructive dialogue, contributing to the ongoing discussion without personal attacks. [+1]