The Oath

Gary Marcus

Rank 13 of 47
|
Score 84
Gary Marcus
@GaryMarcus
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It was (mostly) nice stopping by.

I’ll come back around the end of the year to see how my 2024 predictions held up.
Gary Marcus
@GaryMarcus
·
698d
Prediction: By end of 2024 we will see
• 7-10 GPT-4 level models

• No massive advance (no GPT-5, or disappointing GPT-5)

• Price wars

• Very little moat for anyone

• No robust solution to hallucinations

• Modest lasting corporate adoption

• Modest profits, split 7-10 ways
12/15/2024, 1:10:43 AM
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The statement is a lighthearted and conversational remark about revisiting predictions at the end of the year. It does not engage substantively with public issues or contribute to civic dialogue.

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