Gary Marcus

Rank 19 of 47

Score 64

Gary Marcus

@GaryMarcus

@pbwinston they are both interesting for different reasons. but yes the first is more interesting.

12/20/2024, 10:00:25 PM

In reply to:

Philip Winston

@pbwinston

199d

@GaryMarcus There’s two questions. What level of ability will AI have by the end of 2025? And what label do we assign that level of ability. Only the first question is interesting.

Gary Marcus

@GaryMarcus

199d

My #1 prediction for AI 2025 is this: 𝗽𝗲𝗼𝗽𝗹𝗲 𝗮𝗿𝗲 𝗴𝗼𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝘁𝗼 𝗽𝗹𝗮𝘆 𝗮 𝗹𝗼𝘁 𝗼𝗳 𝗴𝗮𝗺𝗲𝘀 𝘄𝗶𝘁𝗵 𝗵𝗼𝘄 𝘁𝗵𝗲𝘆 𝗱𝗲𝗳𝗶𝗻𝗲 𝗔𝗚𝗜, 𝗹𝗼𝘄𝗲𝗿𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗯𝗮𝗿.

I set my bar in a 2022 bet that I offered Elon Musk. I am not moving mine. You can read my…

The statement is part of a conversation about the future of AI and its capabilities, which is a public issue. The tone is conversational and comparative, expressing a preference for one question over another in the context of AI development.

Principle 1:
I will strive to do no harm with my words and actions.
The statement does no harm and is neutral in tone, simply expressing a preference.
Principle 3:
I will use my words and actions to promote understanding, empathy, and compassion.
The statement does not actively promote understanding, empathy, or compassion, but it does engage in a discussion about AI, which can contribute to public understanding.
Principle 4:
I will engage in constructive criticism and dialogue with those in disagreement and will not engage in personal attacks or ad hominem arguments.
The statement engages in a dialogue without personal attacks or ad hominem arguments, maintaining a respectful tone. [+1]