Gary Marcus

Rank 11 of 47
|
Score 106
12/21/2024, 7:42:48 PM
X
In reply to:
Matt Schwartz
@MattZschwartz
·
219d
@GaryMarcus @drexlspivy56 What probability would you give to an AI system solving a Millenium prize problem by the end of 2025?
Gary Marcus
@GaryMarcus
·
219d
@drexlspivy56 the frontiermath stuff impresses me but i would like to understand what is in the data augmentation
Drexl Spivy
@drexlspivy56
·
219d
@GaryMarcus fair. but do you also have a list of things o3-enhanced AI seemingly can perform that you would have though extremely unlikely within five years in 2020?
Gary Marcus
@GaryMarcus
·
219d
Some AGI-relevant predictions I made publicly long before o3 about what AI could not do by the end of 2025.

Do you seriously think o3-enhanced AI will solve any of them in next 12.5 months?

The statement is part of a broader discussion on the capabilities of AI, specifically regarding its potential to solve complex problems like the Millennium Prize problems by 2025. The tone is speculative and acknowledges a lack of expertise in mathematics, indicating a cautious approach to the topic.

  1. Principle 1:
    I will strive to do no harm with my words and actions.
    The statement does no harm and is a respectful contribution to the discussion. [+1]
  2. Principle 3:
    I will use my words and actions to promote understanding, empathy, and compassion.
    It promotes understanding by acknowledging the speaker's limitations in expertise, which can foster a more honest and open dialogue. [+1]
  3. Principle 4:
    I will engage in constructive criticism and dialogue with those in disagreement and will not engage in personal attacks or ad hominem arguments.
    The statement engages in constructive dialogue without personal attacks, contributing to a respectful exchange of ideas. [+1]