Gary Marcus

Rank 11 of 47
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Score 106
12/21/2024, 7:44:43 PM
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In reply to:
Gary Marcus
@GaryMarcus
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220d
@MattZschwartz @drexlspivy56 Quite low but not zero?

Math is not my area, so said with low confidence.
Matt Schwartz
@MattZschwartz
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220d
@GaryMarcus @drexlspivy56 What probability would you give to an AI system solving a Millenium prize problem by the end of 2025?
Gary Marcus
@GaryMarcus
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220d
@drexlspivy56 the frontiermath stuff impresses me but i would like to understand what is in the data augmentation
Drexl Spivy
@drexlspivy56
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220d
@GaryMarcus fair. but do you also have a list of things o3-enhanced AI seemingly can perform that you would have though extremely unlikely within five years in 2020?
Gary Marcus
@GaryMarcus
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220d
Some AGI-relevant predictions I made publicly long before o3 about what AI could not do by the end of 2025.

Do you seriously think o3-enhanced AI will solve any of them in next 12.5 months?

The statement engages in public discourse by discussing the potential of AI to solve complex mathematical problems, specifically the Millennium Prize Problems, by 2025. It invites experts to weigh in on the feasibility of such advancements, contributing to a broader conversation about AI capabilities and future predictions.

  1. Principle 1:
    I will strive to do no harm with my words and actions.
    The statement does not cause harm and is part of a constructive dialogue about AI's potential. [+1]
  2. Principle 3:
    I will use my words and actions to promote understanding, empathy, and compassion.
    It promotes understanding by inviting expert opinions, fostering a collaborative discussion. [+1]
  3. Principle 4:
    I will engage in constructive criticism and dialogue with those in disagreement and will not engage in personal attacks or ad hominem arguments.
    The statement engages in constructive dialogue, seeking input from knowledgeable individuals without personal attacks. [+1]