The Oath

Gary Marcus

Rank 12 of 47
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Score 83
Gary Marcus
@GaryMarcus
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@chris_j_paxton See full newsletter re video
1/1/2025, 11:45:56 PM
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In reply to:
Chris Paxton
@chris_j_paxton
ยท
397d
@GaryMarcus This all seems pretty reasonable. 22 is a bit too mild; sora honestly seems like one of the worst of the video models. I'm a bit skeptical of 23, unless you count things like o3? Neurosymbolic keeps being a let-down for me, as much as it think it's really exciting conceptually
Gary Marcus
@GaryMarcus
ยท
397d
๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฑ ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜€ ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐˜„๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—”๐—œ ๐˜„๐—ถ๐—น๐—น ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ ๐—ฎ๐˜ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฑ

With high confidence:

1. We will not see artificial general intelligence this year, despite claims by Elon Musk to the contrary.


2. No single system will solve more than 4 of the AI 2027โ€ฆ

The statement is a brief reply directing someone to a newsletter for more information about a video. It does not engage substantively with the public issues or debates presented in the preceding conversation about AI predictions.

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