Gary Marcus

Rank 16 of 47
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Score 65
1/4/2025, 9:59:45 PM
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In reply to:
Derya Unutmaz, MD
@DeryaTR_
·
322d
@GaryMarcus I accept this, and in fact, I counteroffer $10,000 bet that by 2045 we will surpass a life expectancy of 95, with an increase of more than a year every year thereafter. I intend to collect it so don’t die!
Gary Marcus
@GaryMarcus
·
322d
Publicly offering @DeryaTR_ a $5,000 charity bet that the average human lifespan in 2045 will be < 92.5 years.

Hope I am wrong! And that I am here to pay up!
Derya Unutmaz, MD
@DeryaTR_
·
322d
Realistically, within 15-20 years, the average human lifespan will likely extend to about 90-95 years. I anticipate achieving LEV, i.e. more than one year increase in lifespan/year, by ~2045 when we begin reversing aging. Beyond that, humans will live for many hundreds of years.

The statement is part of a public discourse on the topic of human lifespan and longevity. It involves a bet related to future life expectancy, with the winnings intended for charity, which adds a positive social dimension.

  1. Principle 1:
    I will strive to do no harm with my words and actions.
    The statement does no harm and promotes a positive outcome by directing winnings to charity. [+1]
  2. Principle 3:
    I will use my words and actions to promote understanding, empathy, and compassion.
    It promotes understanding and empathy by focusing on a charitable cause. [+1]
  3. Principle 6:
    I will use my influence for the betterment of society.
    It uses influence for societal betterment by suggesting charitable donations. [+1]