Gary Marcus

Rank 15 of 47

Score 65

@realmatejdrev @DeryaTR_ U.S., across gender, and I assume we are talking about expectancy at birth, standard reliable sources, once the 2045 data are reported in 2046.

1/5/2025, 1:02:36 AM

In reply to:

Matej Drev

@realmatejdrev

322d

Very interesting, and great to see conviction on both sides.

@GaryMarcus @DeryaTR_ to confirm, what is the measure exactly? Life expectancy at birth as measured by a 2045 actuarial life table? Male/female/combined? US or another country?

Gary Marcus

@GaryMarcus

322d

I hereby accept @deryaTR_’s $10,000 bet on human life expectancy twenty years hence.

Winnings go to charity, and hope desperately that I lose!

Bet gets resolved once 2045 data are available. (I won’t hold him to the thereafter part. But I hope he is correct on that part,…

The statement is part of a broader discussion on human life expectancy and its future projections, involving a bet on the outcomes. It engages with public discourse on longevity and scientific predictions.

Principle 1:
I will strive to do no harm with my words and actions.
The statement does no harm and is part of a constructive dialogue. [+1]
Principle 3:
I will use my words and actions to promote understanding, empathy, and compassion.
It promotes understanding by clarifying the terms of the bet and the measures involved. [+1]
Principle 4:
I will engage in constructive criticism and dialogue with those in disagreement and will not engage in personal attacks or ad hominem arguments.
The statement engages in constructive dialogue by seeking clarification without personal attacks. [+1]