Gary Marcus

Rank 17 of 47

Score 88

@williamduncan The reliability is (still) not there, and this approach is not working, and the same core problems that i wrote about in 2001, 2012, 2018, 2019, and 2022 all still remain.

4/18/2025, 10:38:14 PM

In reply to:

Will Duncan

@williamduncan

10d

@GaryMarcus o3 isn't AGI, but I'm surprised by anyone who can prompt it and have 10+ year timelines.

Gary Marcus

@GaryMarcus

10d

Have to say Tyler Cowen really beclowned himself claiming o3 achieved AGI this week, when many more serious people have timelines of 10-20 years.

Dwarkesh Patel

@dwarkesh_sp

12d

.@EgeErdil2 and @tamaybes episode.

- They have 2045+ timelines,
- think the whole "alignment" framing is wrong,
- don't think an intelligence explosion is plausible,
- but are convinced we'll see explosive economic growth (economy literally doubling every year or two).

Enjoy!

The statement critiques the current state of AI development, suggesting persistent issues over the years. It engages in a technical discussion about AI timelines and capabilities, contributing to public discourse on technological progress and expectations.

Principle 1:
I will strive to do no harm with my words and actions.
The statement does not cause harm and focuses on technical critique. [+1]
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I will engage in constructive criticism and dialogue with those in disagreement and will not engage in personal attacks or ad hominem arguments.
The statement engages in constructive criticism without personal attacks. [+1]