Gary Marcus

Rank 10 of 47

Score 106

@DerekWiner what did I say was *impossible*?

certainly not AGI. i have said it will come in the next 10-20 years. all the failures that i predict 25 years ago persist, and not have solved. it will take to time to remedy them.

you have taken, post hoc, the worst predictions from the past

7/21/2025, 12:47:44 AM

In reply to:

Derek Winer

@DerekWiner

@GaryMarcus A bicycle can’t cross the ocean.
That doesn’t mean transportation is overhyped.

On some level you must know what you’re doing- falling for the fallacy of fixed principles—believing that today’s limits define tomorrow’s potential.

You’re in strange company now Gary.

Gary Marcus

@GaryMarcus

Helicopters are hella “impressive”.

They don’t get us to the moon.

Why is that hard to understand?

The statement by @GaryMarcus engages in a discussion about the future of artificial general intelligence (AGI) and critiques past predictions, which constitutes public discourse as it addresses a significant technological and societal issue.

Principle 1:
I will strive to do no harm with my words and actions.
The statement does not appear to cause harm with words or actions, as it focuses on a technical debate rather than personal attacks.
Principle 3:
I will use my words and actions to promote understanding, empathy, and compassion.
The statement attempts to promote understanding by clarifying the speaker's position on AGI and addressing misconceptions about past predictions. [+1]
Principle 4:
I will engage in constructive criticism and dialogue with those in disagreement and will not engage in personal attacks or ad hominem arguments.
The statement engages in constructive criticism by addressing the content of the debate rather than attacking individuals, although it could be more diplomatic in tone.
Principle 5:
I will acknowledge and correct my mistakes.
The statement acknowledges past predictions and clarifies the speaker's stance, which aligns with acknowledging and correcting mistakes. [+1]