Gary Marcus

Rank 16 of 47
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Score 63
6/15/2024, 1:00:26 AM
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In reply to:
Grant♟️
@granawkins
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520d
@fchollet @GaryMarcus @WIRED What are your most likely current architectures to lead to AGI (besides LLM / LMM)?
François Chollet
@fchollet
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520d
@GaryMarcus @WIRED 2032 is optimistic but not too far off. Here's the thing though -- the rise of AGI will look nothing like he believes
Gary Marcus
@GaryMarcus
·
520d
*Kurzweil* has moved back his timeline.

Why isn’t anyone talking about that?

For years, even as recently as April, Kurzweil projected 2029 for AGI; now he is expressing uncertainty for the first time, backpedaling a few years to 2032 @WIRED.

This on the heels of Murati…

The statement 'We need at least one breakthrough that probably doesn’t exist yet. probably several.' is part of a broader discussion on the timeline and feasibility of achieving Artificial General Intelligence (AGI). The tone is speculative and forward-looking, suggesting that current technologies may not be sufficient and that new breakthroughs are necessary.

  1. Principle 1:
    I will strive to do no harm with my words and actions.
    The statement does no harm and is a neutral, speculative comment on the future of AGI.
  2. Principle 3:
    I will use my words and actions to promote understanding, empathy, and compassion.
    The statement promotes understanding by acknowledging the need for breakthroughs, which can foster a realistic view of the challenges ahead. [+1]
  3. Principle 4:
    I will engage in constructive criticism and dialogue with those in disagreement and will not engage in personal attacks or ad hominem arguments.
    The statement engages in constructive dialogue by contributing a thoughtful point to the ongoing discussion without attacking or dismissing others' views. [+1]