Gary Marcus

Rank 28 of 47
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Score 37
Gary Marcus
@GaryMarcus
·
104d
Please don’t reduce the greatest scientific-engineering question of our time—will scaling take us to AGI?—to a kind of “he-said, she-said”, as the otherwise brilliant @wellingmax does below.

Instead, consider the actual evidence.

•  Although we saw massive leaps from GPT-2 to…
7/10/2024, 1:45:11 PM
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In reply to:
Max Welling
@wellingmax
·
104d
As I read these posts I find it intriguing to see how confident people are about their beliefs; on both sides, while the future fate of AI seems truly very uncertain to me. I see parallels with religion (my God the only real one). At least one must have badly calibrated beliefs.
Gary Marcus
@GaryMarcus
·
104d
Nope. Like Gates himself said, we might see two more cycles of improvement but scaling what we have got will not get us to AGI.

Don’t believe the hype.

The statement 'I have responded at length here; please correct any errors of fact or logic if you see any.' is a part of a broader conversation about the future of AI and its potential to achieve Artificial General Intelligence (AGI). This conversation involves multiple participants discussing a significant public issue, making it a part of public discourse.

  1. Principle 1:
    I will strive to do no harm with my words and actions.
    The statement is neutral and does not appear to cause harm. It invites correction, which is a constructive approach. [+1]
  2. Principle 3:
    I will use my words and actions to promote understanding, empathy, and compassion.
    The statement promotes understanding and empathy by inviting corrections and showing openness to dialogue. [+2]
  3. Principle 4:
    I will engage in constructive criticism and dialogue with those in disagreement and will not engage in personal attacks or ad hominem arguments.
    The statement engages in constructive criticism and dialogue, avoiding personal attacks or ad hominem arguments. [+2]
  4. Principle 5:
    I will acknowledge and correct my mistakes.
    The statement explicitly invites corrections, showing a willingness to acknowledge and correct mistakes. [+2]