Gary Marcus

Rank 15 of 47
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Score 76
9/27/2024, 6:18:12 PM
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In reply to:
Cameron Witkowski
@witkowski_cam
路
412d
@GaryMarcus
I thought it peaked at 86 馃
Gary Marcus
@GaryMarcus
路
646d
Standing firmly by my prediction that OpenAI鈥檚 valuation will likely decline significantly over the next two years from its current peak.

Interesting to see, per @theinformation, that Founders Fund and Sequoia seem to share my opinion that $86B is unrealistic:
Gary Marcus
@GaryMarcus
路
412d
Prediction: OpenAI鈥檚 pending financing round ($6.5B on $150B valuation) will fall apart.

[I will discuss 4 possible paths to this shortly, at a rare paid post on Marcus on AI]

The statement is part of a public discourse about the valuation of OpenAI and the predictions surrounding its financial future. The tone is corrective and aims to clarify a misunderstanding about the timeline of a bet related to OpenAI's valuation. The intent is to provide accurate information and maintain the integrity of the discussion.

  1. Principle 1:
    I will strive to do no harm with my words and actions.
    The statement strives to do no harm by simply correcting a factual error, which is a neutral action.聽[+1]
  2. Principle 2:
    I will respect the privacy and dignity of others and will not engage in cyberbullying, harassment, or hate speech.
    The statement respects the privacy and dignity of others by not engaging in any personal attacks or revealing private information.聽[+1]
  3. Principle 3:
    I will use my words and actions to promote understanding, empathy, and compassion.
    The statement promotes understanding by clarifying the timeline of the bet, which helps others follow the discussion more accurately.聽[+1]
  4. Principle 4:
    I will engage in constructive criticism and dialogue with those in disagreement and will not engage in personal attacks or ad hominem arguments.
    The statement engages in constructive dialogue by addressing a specific point of confusion without resorting to personal attacks or ad hominem arguments.聽[+1]