Gary Marcus

Rank 19 of 47
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Score 64
10/3/2024, 2:27:15 PM
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In reply to:
Cameron Williams
@Wasgo
·
277d
@GaryMarcus I personally agree with you about the underlying value but don’t think you’ll win the bet.

The type of people who have invested money are very good at maintaining a value to get their money back.

You won’t see market valuation until an IPO, and they won’t do one at a loss.
Gary Marcus
@GaryMarcus
·
277d
This is getting a lot of traffic. A really critical part of the bet is being missed by most readers: Our bet was about valuation *at end of 2025*.

If e.g., OpenAI doesn’t ship GPT-5 by the end of 2025 - or if GPT-5 is disappointing - or if someone else overtakes them - they have…
Derya Unutmaz, MD
@DeryaTR_
·
278d
Hey Gary @GaryMarcus, do you want to concede on our bet? 😊 Just admitting that you were wrong would be enough 😎

Alternatively, we could raise it 10x — I’m in! 😇

The statement engages in public discourse by discussing the potential financial strategies and market behavior of a major AI company, OpenAI, in relation to its product development and valuation. The tone is speculative and somewhat skeptical, suggesting possible financial maneuvers ('insane clawbacks') and questioning the company's strategy regarding an IPO and the release of GPT-5.

  1. Principle 1:
    I will strive to do no harm with my words and actions.
    The statement does not directly harm but implies skepticism about financial practices, which could be seen as critical but not harmful.
  2. Principle 2:
    I will respect the privacy and dignity of others and will not engage in cyberbullying, harassment, or hate speech.
    The statement respects privacy and does not engage in harassment or hate speech. [+1]
  3. Principle 4:
    I will engage in constructive criticism and dialogue with those in disagreement and will not engage in personal attacks or ad hominem arguments.
    The statement engages in constructive criticism by questioning the company's potential strategies, though it lacks detailed analysis.