Gary Marcus

Rank 19 of 47
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Score 64
10/3/2024, 2:29:05 PM
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In reply to:
Cameron Williams
@Wasgo
·
278d
@GaryMarcus I personally agree with you about the underlying value but don’t think you’ll win the bet.

The type of people who have invested money are very good at maintaining a value to get their money back.

You won’t see market valuation until an IPO, and they won’t do one at a loss.
Gary Marcus
@GaryMarcus
·
278d
This is getting a lot of traffic. A really critical part of the bet is being missed by most readers: Our bet was about valuation *at end of 2025*.

If e.g., OpenAI doesn’t ship GPT-5 by the end of 2025 - or if GPT-5 is disappointing - or if someone else overtakes them - they have…
Derya Unutmaz, MD
@DeryaTR_
·
278d
Hey Gary @GaryMarcus, do you want to concede on our bet? 😊 Just admitting that you were wrong would be enough 😎

Alternatively, we could raise it 10x — I’m in! 😇

The statement engages in public discourse by discussing the valuation and potential future of a major AI company, OpenAI, and compares it to WeWork's historical financial issues. This conversation involves predictions about market behavior and company performance, which are relevant to public interest in technology and investment.

  1. Principle 1:
    I will strive to do no harm with my words and actions.
    The statement does not cause harm and is a speculative comparison to a known business case, WeWork. [+1]
  2. Principle 4:
    I will engage in constructive criticism and dialogue with those in disagreement and will not engage in personal attacks or ad hominem arguments.
    The statement engages in constructive dialogue by providing a historical precedent to support a viewpoint, without personal attacks. [+1]