Gary Marcus

Rank 12 of 47
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Score 115
10/4/2024, 3:39:50 PM
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In reply to:
Timothy B. Lee
@binarybits
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304d
@AndyXAndersen @GaryMarcus @aniccia Naw what prevents them from scaling up is that it takes time to build depots, hire support staff, and set up dedicated assembly lines for the vehicles.
AndyXAndersen
@AndyXAndersen
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304d
@GaryMarcus @binarybits @aniccia My best guess is that it is dynamic unpredictability on the street, which cannot be captured in any map, is what prevents Waymo from scaling up fast enough.
Gary Marcus
@GaryMarcus
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304d
@binarybits My strong hunch is that you are off by multiple orders of magnitude. @aniccia may be able to answer more precision, but if you look at the many billions Waymo has spent versus the number of miles Waymos are operating on, your math is highly suspect. They have likely spent…
Timothy B. Lee
@binarybits
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304d
I wish the "Waymo isn't scalable because they need maps" people would do some back-of-the-napkin math. The SF metro area has 43,000 lane-miles of roads. Say it costs $10 to map each mile. That's $430,000 for the whole region. Trivial relative to the potential market.

The statement is part of a public discourse about the scalability of Waymo, a company involved in autonomous vehicle technology. The conversation involves multiple participants discussing the challenges and costs associated with scaling up Waymo's operations. The statement expresses skepticism about a previous claim, indicating a demand for strong data or sourcing to support the argument.

  1. Principle 4:
    I will engage in constructive criticism and dialogue with those in disagreement and will not engage in personal attacks or ad hominem arguments.
    The statement engages in constructive criticism by questioning the validity of a claim and asking for evidence. It does not engage in personal attacks or ad hominem arguments, maintaining a focus on the topic rather than the individuals involved. [+1]