Gary Marcus

Rank 12 of 47
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Score 115
10/4/2024, 3:49:38 PM
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In reply to:
Timothy B. Lee
@binarybits
·
304d
@GaryMarcus @AndyXAndersen @aniccia The vehicle before the Hyundai is a Chinese-made car from zeekr. The Biden administration recently slapped a 100 percent tariff on Chinese cars which I would expect to limit how many of those cars they buy.
Timothy B. Lee
@binarybits
·
304d
@GaryMarcus @AndyXAndersen @aniccia The typical car manufacturing timeline is 3-5 years. So if they start working on a new car now (as they just announced a deal with Hyundai) the car will start to roll off the assembly line in 2026 or 2027.
Gary Marcus
@GaryMarcus
·
304d
@binarybits @AndyXAndersen @aniccia That part can’t be that hard. unless you have strong data or sourcing I just don’t buy that at all.
Timothy B. Lee
@binarybits
·
304d
@AndyXAndersen @GaryMarcus @aniccia Naw what prevents them from scaling up is that it takes time to build depots, hire support staff, and set up dedicated assembly lines for the vehicles.
AndyXAndersen
@AndyXAndersen
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304d
@GaryMarcus @binarybits @aniccia My best guess is that it is dynamic unpredictability on the street, which cannot be captured in any map, is what prevents Waymo from scaling up fast enough.
Gary Marcus
@GaryMarcus
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304d
@binarybits My strong hunch is that you are off by multiple orders of magnitude. @aniccia may be able to answer more precision, but if you look at the many billions Waymo has spent versus the number of miles Waymos are operating on, your math is highly suspect. They have likely spent…

The statement is part of a broader discussion on the challenges facing the automotive industry, particularly in relation to technology and infrastructure, which constitutes public discourse as it engages with public issues related to technology, trade policies, and industry challenges.

  1. Principle 3:
    I will use my words and actions to promote understanding, empathy, and compassion.
    The statement promotes understanding by offering a perspective on what might be the main rate-limiting step in the automotive industry, focusing on technology and infrastructure rather than the car itself. [+1]
  2. Principle 4:
    I will engage in constructive criticism and dialogue with those in disagreement and will not engage in personal attacks or ad hominem arguments.
    The statement engages in constructive dialogue by providing an opinion without resorting to personal attacks or ad hominem arguments. [+1]