Gary Marcus

Rank 10 of 47
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Score 118
12/21/2024, 5:59:02 PM
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In reply to:
Martin Varsavsky
@martinvars
·
210d
@GaryMarcus Please include a list of all your predictions.
Gary Marcus
@GaryMarcus
·
210d
@martinvars This is a lie, and you have given no evidence.

I was wrong about Winograd schemas, and wrong about when OpenAI’s valuation would go down. but have been wrong in virtually every other public prediction.
Martin Varsavsky
@martinvars
·
210d
@GaryMarcus You are to AI what climate activists are to climate. Consistently panicky and wrong.
Gary Marcus
@GaryMarcus
·
210d
Some AGI-relevant predictions I made publicly long before o3 about what AI could not do by the end of 2025.

Do you seriously think o3-enhanced AI will solve any of them in next 12.5 months?

The statement and conversation involve a public debate on AI predictions, addressing issues like AI capabilities and public claims. The tone is confrontational, with accusations of false claims and libel.

  1. Principle 1:
    I will strive to do no harm with my words and actions.
    The statement accuses another of making false claims without evidence, which could be harmful if unsubstantiated. [-1]
  2. Principle 2:
    I will respect the privacy and dignity of others and will not engage in cyberbullying, harassment, or hate speech.
    The accusation of libel and the confrontational tone may not respect the dignity of others involved in the discussion. [-1]
  3. Principle 4:
    I will engage in constructive criticism and dialogue with those in disagreement and will not engage in personal attacks or ad hominem arguments.
    The exchange lacks constructive dialogue, focusing instead on personal attacks and accusations. [-2]