Gary Marcus

Rank 12 of 47

Score 83

Aside from details around ARC & other benchmarks, o3 won’t turn out to be reliable across domains, and it will in hindsight seem wildly inefficient.

MUCH better technology will emerge, after the LLM hype subsides. (LLMs may still exist, but will be just one tool in a larger…

12/24/2024, 5:23:44 PM

In reply to:

Gary Marcus

@GaryMarcus

398d

Mark my words: when AGI does actually come, perhaps 10 or 20 years from now, people will laugh at the idea that o3 was close to AGI.

Mikel Bober-Irizar

@mikb0b

400d

You've seen some of the puzzles o3 failed, but have you seen the attempts?

Yesterday, @OpenAI's o3 dramatically beat the SOTA at @arcprize. But there were 34 tasks that even it couldn't solve with 16 hours of thinking.

I've compiled and analyzed all of o3's mistakes below 🧵

The statement critiques the reliability and efficiency of o3, a language model, suggesting that better technology will emerge after the current hype subsides. It engages in a broader discussion about the future of AI and its development.

Principle 1:
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The statement does not directly harm but critiques the technology, which is a part of healthy discourse.
Principle 3:
I will use my words and actions to promote understanding, empathy, and compassion.
The statement promotes understanding by suggesting a future perspective on AI development. [+1]
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I will engage in constructive criticism and dialogue with those in disagreement and will not engage in personal attacks or ad hominem arguments.
The statement engages in constructive criticism without personal attacks. [+1]