Gary Marcus

Rank 25 of 47
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Score 40
1/9/2025, 12:33:33 PM
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In reply to:
Linch
@LinchZhang
ยท
38d
In 2024, An "AI skeptic" is someone who thinks there's a >9.1% chance that AIs won't be able to write Pulitzer-caliber books or make Nobel-caliber scientific discoveries in the next 3 years.
Linch
@LinchZhang
ยท
38d
It's subtle, but one might notice a teeny bit of inflation for what counts as "human level."
Gary Marcus
@GaryMarcus
ยท
39d
๐—” ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐˜ ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐˜„๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐˜„๐—ถ๐—น๐—น ๐—”๐—œ ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ ๐—ฎ๐˜ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿณ: @Miles_Brundage, formerly of OpenAI, bravely takes a version of the bet I offered @Elonmusk! Proceeds to charity.

Can AI do 8 of these 10 by the end of 2027?

1. Watch a previously unseen mainstreamโ€ฆ

The statement engages in a discussion about AI capabilities and skepticism, addressing a specific claim related to a bet on AI's future achievements. It clarifies a misinterpretation and emphasizes skepticism about AI's potential.

  1. Principle 1:
    I will strive to do no harm with my words and actions.
    The statement strives to clarify a misunderstanding, which aligns with the principle of doing no harm by promoting accurate information.ย [+1]
  2. Principle 3:
    I will use my words and actions to promote understanding, empathy, and compassion.
    By addressing a misinterpretation, the statement promotes understanding and clarity in the discussion about AI capabilities.ย [+1]
  3. Principle 4:
    I will engage in constructive criticism and dialogue with those in disagreement and will not engage in personal attacks or ad hominem arguments.
    The statement engages in constructive dialogue by addressing a specific claim and clarifying a position without resorting to personal attacks.ย [+1]