Gary Marcus

Rank 14 of 47
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Score 83
5/2/2025, 12:00:20 PM
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In reply to:
Toyanç
@toyancsayan
·
244d
@GaryMarcus Please share your “AI will not do these tasks in 2025” predictions. And let’s take them as “benchmarks” . And let everyone see if your predictions were true or you will always continue to shifting goalposts.
Gary Marcus
@GaryMarcus
·
245d
GPT-4 came out two years ago; is GPT 4.1 6.25 times smarter?

FLOPs/s have scaled faster than intelligence.
Epoch AI
@EpochAIResearch
·
245d
We've documented over 500 AI supercomputing clusters from 2019 onward.

Among leading AI supercomputers, performance has been increasing at a rate of 2.5x per year.

Thread of our insights 🧵

The statement is part of a public discourse on AI predictions and performance. It engages in a discussion about the future capabilities of AI, referencing expert opinions and data on AI supercomputing performance.

  1. Principle 1:
    I will strive to do no harm with my words and actions.
    The statement does not cause harm and is part of a constructive dialogue about AI predictions. [+1]
  2. Principle 3:
    I will use my words and actions to promote understanding, empathy, and compassion.
    It promotes understanding by sharing expert predictions and data, encouraging informed discussion. [+1]
  3. Principle 4:
    I will engage in constructive criticism and dialogue with those in disagreement and will not engage in personal attacks or ad hominem arguments.
    The statement engages in constructive criticism by questioning the accuracy of AI predictions and inviting verification. [+1]