Gary Marcus

Rank 14 of 47
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Score 83
5/2/2025, 12:01:03 PM
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In reply to:
Toyanç
@toyancsayan
·
244d
@GaryMarcus Please share your “AI will not do these tasks in 2025” predictions. And let’s take them as “benchmarks” . And let everyone see if your predictions were true or you will always continue to shifting goalposts.
Gary Marcus
@GaryMarcus
·
245d
GPT-4 came out two years ago; is GPT 4.1 6.25 times smarter?

FLOPs/s have scaled faster than intelligence.
Epoch AI
@EpochAIResearch
·
245d
We've documented over 500 AI supercomputing clusters from 2019 onward.

Among leading AI supercomputers, performance has been increasing at a rate of 2.5x per year.

Thread of our insights 🧵

The statement is part of a public discourse on AI development and predictions. It addresses an accusation of shifting goalposts in the context of AI predictions. The tone is defensive, aiming to refute misinformation.

  1. Principle 1:
    I will strive to do no harm with my words and actions.
    The statement attempts to correct misinformation, aligning with the principle of doing no harm with words. [+1]
  2. Principle 2:
    I will respect the privacy and dignity of others and will not engage in cyberbullying, harassment, or hate speech.
    The statement respects privacy and dignity, as it does not engage in personal attacks. [+1]
  3. Principle 4:
    I will engage in constructive criticism and dialogue with those in disagreement and will not engage in personal attacks or ad hominem arguments.
    The statement could engage more constructively by providing evidence or reasoning rather than just denial. [-1]