Gary Marcus

Rank 19 of 47

Score 64

What would you expect AI to look like 2 years before we achieved AGI? What would you expect AI be able to do at AGI-2? not be able to do then? what would those final two years of AGI development look like?

i give one possible answer below.

Gary Marcus

@GaryMarcus

22d

If we were 2 years from some kind of singularity-like AGI, I would expect current AI to be able to

• (minimally) do essentially anything cognitive that a bright 10 year child could do, such as understand movies, acquire the basics of new skills quickly, learn complex,

6/15/2025, 5:24:51 AM

The statement engages in a speculative discussion about the development of artificial general intelligence (AGI) and its potential capabilities. It invites a conversation about the future of AI technology, which is a public issue given its societal implications.

Principle 1:
I will strive to do no harm with my words and actions.
The statement does not cause harm and is speculative in nature, focusing on potential future developments.
Principle 3:
I will use my words and actions to promote understanding, empathy, and compassion.
The statement promotes understanding by encouraging discussion about the future capabilities of AI. [+1]
Principle 4:
I will engage in constructive criticism and dialogue with those in disagreement and will not engage in personal attacks or ad hominem arguments.
The statement invites dialogue and does not engage in personal attacks or ad hominem arguments. [+1]
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I will uphold the principles of free speech and use my platform responsibly and with integrity.
The statement upholds free speech and uses the platform to responsibly discuss future technological developments. [+1]