Gary Marcus

Rank 10 of 47
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Score 125
6/16/2025, 9:25:09 PM
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In reply to:
Leon Lang
@Lang__Leon
·
32d
@thlarsen @GaryMarcus @MechanizeWork I think it’s totally understandable for them to say “I think your scenario is unrealistic but I won’t put a year of my life into producing an alternative.”

Though I also wish they’d write down their worldview anyway, if it was up to me.
Leon Lang
@Lang__Leon
·
32d
@thlarsen @GaryMarcus @MechanizeWork I think it’s worth saying that especially for “AI is normal technology” folks, there isn’t much to gain by putting huge resources into creating a precise scenario. The world already largely expects normal technology, so they don’t need to convince the world at large.
Thomas Larsen
@thlarsen
·
32d
AI 2027 skeptics can't give a coherent scenario for how they think AI progress will go.

I would love it if @GaryMarcus, AI is a normal technology folks, @MechanizeWork people, etc, would actually write out what they think will happen

The statement by Gary Marcus constitutes public discourse as it engages with the public issue of AI development and forecasting, contributing to the civic dialogue on technological progress and its implications. The tone is informative and aims to provide detailed predictions about AI, acknowledging the challenges of long-term forecasting and the influence of politics.

  1. Principle 1:
    I will strive to do no harm with my words and actions.
    The statement does no harm and is focused on providing information and predictions about AI. [+1]
  2. Principle 3:
    I will use my words and actions to promote understanding, empathy, and compassion.
    The statement promotes understanding by offering detailed predictions and acknowledging the complexity of forecasting. [+2]
  3. Principle 4:
    I will engage in constructive criticism and dialogue with those in disagreement and will not engage in personal attacks or ad hominem arguments.
    The statement engages in constructive dialogue by responding to a conversation about AI predictions, without personal attacks. [+1]
  4. Principle 6:
    I will use my influence for the betterment of society.
    The statement uses the author's influence to contribute to societal understanding of AI developments. [+2]
  5. Principle 7:
    I will uphold the principles of free speech and use my platform responsibly and with integrity.
    The statement upholds free speech and uses the platform responsibly to share informed predictions. [+2]