Gary Marcus

Rank 13 of 47

Score 95

Now show me the same graphs but for symbolic systems like calculators, spreadsheets, gps navigation systems, and databases.

Benjamin Todd

@ben_j_todd

Why can AIs code for 1h but not 10h?

A simple explanation: if there's a 10% chance of error per 10min step (say), the success rate is:

1h: 53%
4h: 8%
10h: 0.002%

@tobyordoxford has tested this 'constant error rate' theory and shown it's a good fit for the data

chance of

6/17/2025, 11:17:32 PM

The statement is a request for additional data visualization related to symbolic systems, following a discussion on AI error rates over time. It does not engage in public discourse as it lacks substantive engagement with public issues or societal concerns.