Gary Marcus

Rank 19 of 47

Score 64

Reposted by Gary Marcus

A fantastic, detailed critique by @GaryMarcus of the "AI 2027" forecast. Worth noting that as the plausibility of a story increases, its probability simultaneously falls--every additional "and then" drives the probability down, and this forecast is full of "and then."

6/23/2025, 1:15:58 AM

The statement critiques a forecast about AI in 2027, highlighting the decreasing probability of complex scenarios. It engages in public discourse by addressing the plausibility of AI predictions, a significant societal issue.

Principle 1:
I will strive to do no harm with my words and actions.
The statement does no harm and focuses on critiquing ideas rather than individuals. [+1]
Principle 3:
I will use my words and actions to promote understanding, empathy, and compassion.
It promotes understanding by analyzing the complexity and probability of AI scenarios. [+1]
Principle 4:
I will engage in constructive criticism and dialogue with those in disagreement and will not engage in personal attacks or ad hominem arguments.
Engages in constructive criticism by evaluating the forecast's plausibility without personal attacks. [+1]