Gary Marcus

Rank 13 of 47
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Score 84
6/27/2025, 2:42:52 PM
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In reply to:
Seán Ó hÉigeartaigh
@S_OhEigeartaigh
·
227d
@GaryMarcus you monster, are you trying to bankrupt the poor man
Gary Marcus
@GaryMarcus
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227d
@S_OhEigeartaigh i offered elon a million 🤷‍♂️
Seán Ó hÉigeartaigh
@S_OhEigeartaigh
·
227d
@GaryMarcus I have a $500 bet from a year ago with a colleague that we won't have AGI by 2030. So these estimates better be out by at least 200% or I will lose Money and Standing, which are obviously the most important things in this situation.
Gary Marcus
@GaryMarcus
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227d
prediction: When AGI doesn’t arrive in 18 months, exactly zero people will admit they were wrong.
Seán Ó hÉigeartaigh
@S_OhEigeartaigh
·
227d
18 months until we learn if the Anthropic folks are high on their own supply, or whether the world is about to become very inexplicable for this jumped-up ape. Still leaning towards the former FWIW. But I'd sleep better if their prediction track record wasn't so good (esp Amodei)

The statement is part of a lighthearted and humorous exchange about predictions related to Artificial General Intelligence (AGI). The conversation involves bets and playful banter among individuals discussing the timeline for AGI development. The tone is informal and does not engage substantively with public issues or policies, thus it does not constitute public discourse.