Gary Marcus

Rank 19 of 47

Score 64

🎺 I am hereby publicly offering to bet @darioamodei $1,000,000 that AI in 2027 will NOT be “smarter than Nobel Prize winners across most fields in science and engineering”. 🎺

Why? We are nowhere close. Consider:

• New Stanford study from @ChengleiSi shows that “LLM ideas

6/30/2025, 2:41:17 PM

The statement is a public challenge regarding the future capabilities of AI, questioning predictions about AI surpassing human intelligence in scientific fields by 2027. It references a study to support its skepticism.

Principle 1:
I will strive to do no harm with my words and actions.
The statement does not appear to cause harm; it is a challenge based on a prediction.
Principle 3:
I will use my words and actions to promote understanding, empathy, and compassion.
The statement promotes understanding by referencing a study, but could be more detailed in its explanation. [+1]
Principle 4:
I will engage in constructive criticism and dialogue with those in disagreement and will not engage in personal attacks or ad hominem arguments.
The statement engages in constructive dialogue by challenging a prediction without personal attacks. [+1]