Gary Marcus

Rank 20 of 47

Score 53

@EdmundKudzayi @DarioAmodei @ChengleiSi this is separate, addressing a specific, separate claim.

(also you have somewhat confused the other million dollar offer, which was never specifically about the 10k lines; that was a different bet that i would still probably take.)

6/30/2025, 6:51:12 PM

In reply to:

Edmund Kudzayi

@EdmundKudzayi

@GaryMarcus @DarioAmodei @ChengleiSi I see you’ve dropped the 10,000 lines of code once linked to your million-dollar offer. Why? That question alone exposes why these grand pronouncements are ultimately pointless. The issues raised are irrelevant to the immediate remarkable utility; so much so that what seemed

Gary Marcus

@GaryMarcus

10h

🎺 I am hereby publicly offering to bet @darioamodei $1,000,000 that AI in 2027 will NOT be “smarter than Nobel Prize winners across most fields in science and engineering”. 🎺

Why? We are nowhere close. Consider:

• New Stanford study from @ChengleiSi shows that “LLM ideas

The statement is part of a public discourse on the future capabilities of AI, specifically addressing a claim about AI surpassing human intelligence by 2027. The tone is analytical and aims to clarify a misunderstanding about a previous bet related to AI development.

Principle 1:
I will strive to do no harm with my words and actions.
The statement does not cause harm and seeks to clarify a misunderstanding, aligning with the principle of doing no harm. [+1]
Principle 3:
I will use my words and actions to promote understanding, empathy, and compassion.
By addressing a specific claim and providing clarification, the statement promotes understanding and constructive dialogue. [+1]
Principle 4:
I will engage in constructive criticism and dialogue with those in disagreement and will not engage in personal attacks or ad hominem arguments.
The statement engages in constructive criticism without personal attacks, adhering to respectful discourse. [+1]