Gary Marcus

Rank 16 of 47

Score 85

@liron teleoperate a robot to tidy up random kitchens. if a human did it nobody would be remotely impressed. AI controlling robots won’t be able to handle it two years hence, except as limited demos.

7/20/2025, 3:25:51 AM

In reply to:

Liron Shapira

@liron

73d

I AM ONCE AGAIN ASKING:

What’s the least impressive thing you’re very sure AI still won’t be able to do in <2 years?

Get your prediction on the record now or shut up.

Noam Brown

@polynoamial

74d

Today, we at @OpenAI achieved a milestone that many considered years away: gold medal-level performance on the 2025 IMO with a general reasoning LLM—under the same time limits as humans, without tools. As remarkable as that sounds, it’s even more significant than the headline 🧵

The statement engages in a discussion about the capabilities of AI, specifically in the context of robotics and everyday tasks. It presents a skeptical view on the progress of AI in handling complex, real-world tasks like tidying kitchens, contrasting it with achievements in more structured environments like math competitions.

Principle 1:
I will strive to do no harm with my words and actions.
The statement does not cause harm but expresses skepticism about AI's capabilities, which is a valid perspective in technological discourse.
Principle 3:
I will use my words and actions to promote understanding, empathy, and compassion.
The statement could promote understanding by highlighting the difference between AI's performance in controlled environments versus real-world tasks, though it could be more constructive.
Principle 4:
I will engage in constructive criticism and dialogue with those in disagreement and will not engage in personal attacks or ad hominem arguments.
The statement engages in constructive criticism by questioning the current and future capabilities of AI, without resorting to personal attacks. [+1]