Gary Marcus

Rank 22 of 47
|
Score 35
9/1/2025, 8:26:31 PM
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In reply to:
Miles Brundage
@Miles_Brundage
·
14d
@GaryMarcus I've discussed GPT-5 in some detail elsewhere if you're interested! https://x.com/search?q=miles_bru…

(in short, nothing particularly surprising with any of them, and the one quantitative prediction I made about them was correct, re: GPT-5 exceeding the prior METR trendline)
Gary Marcus
@GaryMarcus
·
14d
@Miles_Brundage were the recent models (GPT-5, LLama-4, Grok-4) etc everything you dreamt they would be?
Miles Brundage
@Miles_Brundage
·
14d
Yep we're on the same page, AI 2027 is indeed super unrealistic - the timeline are way off ᵇᵉᶜᵃᵘˢᵉ ᵗʰᶦⁿᵍˢ ʷᶦˡˡ ᵍᵒ ᶠᵃˢᵗᵉʳ ᵗʰᵃⁿ ᵗʰᵃᵗ

The statement is part of a public discourse on the timeline for achieving Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), a significant topic in the field of artificial intelligence with broad societal implications. The tone is inquisitive, seeking clarification or further discussion on the feasibility of reaching AGI within a specified timeframe.

  1. Principle 3:
    I will use my words and actions to promote understanding, empathy, and compassion.
    The statement is neutral and does not explicitly promote understanding, empathy, or compassion, but it does engage in a dialogue that could lead to greater understanding of AGI timelines.
  2. Principle 4:
    I will engage in constructive criticism and dialogue with those in disagreement and will not engage in personal attacks or ad hominem arguments.
    The statement engages in constructive dialogue by questioning a timeline prediction, without resorting to personal attacks or ad hominem arguments. [+1]
  3. Principle 7:
    I will uphold the principles of free speech and use my platform responsibly and with integrity.
    The statement upholds the principles of free speech and uses the platform responsibly by engaging in a substantive discussion about AGI timelines. [+1]